Cognitive Biases


Biases are listed from the most to least compelling to me. Most of the descriptions are my own. 🎨 The pallet marks biases that I created


Cognitive Biases
– Mental models are more tools for thinking or decision making (mostly constructive). Cognitive biases are illusions of cognition and are happening unconsciously (mostly destructive).

Bias correction

The more objective you think you are, the more you discriminate -- because you don't realize how vulnerable you are to bias. Romantic partners and friends want to see you in a positive light – perhaps to rationalize their relationship with you -- so may reinforce your inaccurate self-assessments or motivate you to fulfill their expectations link

My biases

I work with my confirmation bias. When I am trying to describe something I creatively bend theories or explanations to fit together. I am good at this. I remember an exercise from school when I creatively took a lot of random words and I created a cohesive sounding story.

To Do

Idea of judgment sways #lfasjd0f9u091

My-side bias
Confirmation Bias
Availability Bias
Self-dependent thinking trap 🎨
Expert trap 🎨
Loss Aversion
Scope Neglect
Sunk-cost fallacy
Newness Bias 🎨
Binary Trap 🎨
Hindsight Bias
Law of the instrument
Normalcy Bias
Van Gogh of Reasoning 🎨
Decision Collapse 🎨

πŸ‘‡less relevant to me

Group Thinking
Outcome Bias
Denomination effect
Survivor Bias
Courtesy Bias
Distinction Bias
Ambiguity Effect
Restraint Bias
Law of trivality
Testing Effect
Naive Realism
Shared Information Bias
More Biases

New biases

The best of possible world bias

When I was traveling through Costa Rica and I could choose where I live wherever stayed it felt wherever I was felt like the best place. This bias is close to

but in relation to the environment. I will feel more of an a place if I am are in it. The real question is what is actually the best place.

The more you know the worse judgment

Studies have found that deep expertise in a subject does not positively correlate with accuracy in judgement. As part of his research on forecasting, professor Phillip Tetlock conducted a study with 284 political experts, that generated over 80,000 informed (where the estimate matched the area of expertise of the individual) and uninformed predictions 7 over the course of 20 years. Surprisingly, Tetlock discovered that specialists are less reliable than non-experts, even within their specific area of study. In fact, the study concludes that after a certain point, deepening one's knowledge about a specific topic is affected by the law of diminishing returns and can hinder the ability to accurately predict a certain outcome. The results of the study can be attributed to the fact that subject matter experts are more likely to suffer from confirmation bias and are more likely to feel the pressure associated with reputational damage 8, both of which can affect their ability to produce accurate predictions.

Communication effort and illusion of completeness