Unbiased
In some environments, a biased decision-making tool will deliver the lowest error. For example, statisticians and computer scientists often use a class of procedures called regularization to generate simpler models. The procedure deliberately adds bias to reduce the error due to overfitting.A human decision-making example is the gaze heuristic, a tool that people use to catch balls. The heuristic is simply to move so that you maintain the ball at a constant angle of gaze. This will take you to where the ball will land. The gaze heuristic results in a strange pattern of movement. You might back away from the ball as it rises and then move back in as it falls. If the ball is hit up and to the side of you, you will move to the ball in a curve. The nonlinear path you follow to catch the ball might be considered a ‘bias’, but it also performs well despite its extreme simplicity. See
Read High conflict via Daniel Primavera
- Frame a task less like a competition and more like a puzzle we try to solve together
Jacob Falkovich article and Scott Alexander answer and than Falkovich response: (I used goal factoring (his fav), Yoda timer job research, and decision matrices to decide where to work).
Cognitive bias correction perspective
There was a moment when no person from humanities
all
rode a bike
most
understood we are on a planet circling the sun
Through a difficult induction now most people believe something else
There will be a moment when people realize internal mechanism of cognitive biases
Difference
with the sun people didn’t need to understand the theorem
here everybody may need to understand what’s going on