Mental Models vs. Cognitive Biases β Mental models are more tools for thinking or decision making (mostly constructive). Cognitive biases are distortions or illusions and are happening unconsciously (mostly destructive).
Legend: π¨ β palette marks things I created or renamed. Sort: on the top are concepts that are more active or relevant to me.
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For clearer thinking and optimization
Concepts
Antithesis80/20 ruleFoundation paralysis effect π¨Expected valueLocal optimum Explore vs. exploitPrediction horizon π¨Map vs. territoryOrganic knowledgeDecision lock-in π¨Guess to understand π¨Rumbling to understand π¨Local differences are exaggeratedGoodhart's LawDecision equalizing force π¨Aumann's Agreement TheoremTesting EffectFirst principles thiking vs thinking by analogy Reference class forecastingConquest second lawJittery world Baseraters vs. growthersFour simulacra levels of discussionKnowledge categoriesInformed βnew-york-timesβ readerβ£
Algorithms
Concepts that have more potential phrased as statement or action
Over and under reaction to a informationCreate new rather than edit π¨How to avoid Pascalβs-mugging?Render large numbers as infinity π¨Does not compute (when to switch from rational approach)Notice surpriseFrom discovery to application takes a long timeButtons
When I can imagine simple actions as buttons that can be quickly pressed
SimplifyFor living better
Concepts
LoveCompetitive lock-in π¨Paradox of hedonismImpermanence Potential guageNeglect of tasks with vague resultsAlgorithms
Concepts that have more potential phrased as statement or action
Do things with love π¨Trying, failing, making mistakes is growingBad habits, observing rather than restrictingDo big changes, as most often they are goodSay a real thanksLet problems drive solutions, not the other way round.Pass through cynicism untouchedButtons
When I can imagine simple actions as buttons that can be quickly pressed
One foot forwardMini-ideas
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- Having things undecided is a form of pain. Decide and close things
- Be okay with infinite tasks like: exercise, order, good food
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