July 2024
Reference class forecasting (new)
Conquest second law (new)
Informed โnew-york-timesโ reader (new)
June 2024
Stuck on oneโs point of view ๐จ
Mind projection fallacies ๐จ (new)
Ontological projection fallacy (new)
Semantic projection fallacy (new)
May 2024
Four simulacra levels of discussion (new)
Beliefs as tastes ๐จ (new)
April 2024
Knowledge categories (new)
March 2024
How to avoid Pascalโs-mugging? (new)
February 2024
Guess to understand ๐จ (new)
Singulatrons ๐จ (new)
Vulcanos โ catastrophic risks (new)
Gratitude priming exercise (new)
Population ethics (new)
January 2024
Families of Cognitive Biases (new)
Potential guage (new)
Prediction horizon ๐จ (new)
Do things with love ๐จ (new)
Substack update #2
December 2023
Decision equalizing force ๐จ
November 2023
Evaluating meditation: 20 days x 15 min (new)
October 2023
Gamblerโs and hot-hand fallacies (new)
Neglect of tasks with vague results (new)
Local differences are exaggerated (new)
Small things donโt seem to add up to large things ๐จ (new)
September 2023
Planning fallacy (new)
Negativity bias (new)
Disagreement curse ๐จ (new)
August 2023
Conjunction fallacy (new)
June 2023
Unique areas (new)
May 2023
Trapped Priors As A Basic Problem Of Rationality (new)
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
Speaking for the dead (new)
Links fav (new)
Paradox of hedonism (new)
Notice surprise (new)
Believe perseverance (new)
Substack update #1
November 2022
Guessing the Teacher's Password (new)
October 2022
Pawel died โ a party! (new)
September 2022
Democrats and Republicans switch of platforms
Population ethics (new)
Epistemic status (new)
August 2022
Mental Models (Updates) A lot of updates within pages
This can't go on (new)
What is Economic Growth? (new)
Epistemic status (new)
Bad habits, observing rather than restricting (new)
I started this website around 2019 but I didnโt keep the change log back then.